Edmonton, May 6, 2015, 11.20 am: A Cold Day in Hell? or Global Warming, ha, bloody ha?
Final count (Elected out of 87 seats, previously elected, popular vote):
New Democratic Party 54 (4) (40%)
Wildrose Party 21 (17) (25%)
Progressive Conservatives 10 (61) (28%)
Liberal Party 1 (5) (4%)
Cult of One Person, AKA Alberta Party 1 (0) (2%)
So, in the event, my Alberta election prediction was not too shabby. I underestimated the NDP, overestimated Wildrose and failed to account for the unaccountable Cult of One Person Party. In the main, however, I got it right. The NDP won a majority; Wildrose finished second, despite finishing third in the popular vote; and the PC “dynasty” was smashed.
(In any country where the media isn’t a joke, “Jen” Gerson’s National Post column of April 7 would hang like a millstone around her neck for the rest of her career. But this is Canada, where dogs don’t bite dogs, so her lazy and contemptible “reporting” will be forgotten. BTW, check out the title of the piece on the URL—”alberta-is-about-to-be-dropped-into-an-early-election-but-do-we-even-need-to-wait-for-the-results”—and compare it to the title as it stands now. Curious, no? )
What is the big picture? 1. Voters can no longer vote Yes; but they can still vote No (ie, to the corrupt PCs). 2. It’s not so much how good you are; what’s most important is how bad the other guy is (ie, Jim Prentice, now and forever, the Kim Campbell of Alberta).
Why were the PCs smashed? Jim Prentice was too clever by half. He wasn’t content to let “fart in a frock” Danielle Smith waft away with the rest of her party. Instead, he preferred to play the Bond villain, inviting most of her caucus to a secure location that was revealed to be a holding tank filling slowly with water. Prentice then chose to play Action Man, travelling the province to sound the tocsin: Alberta was in Big Trouble and Stern Measures Were Required. Finally, he lost his bottle, presumably after a frantic last-minute intervention by his pollsters, and delivered a damp-squib budget before calling an unwonted election.
What happens to the PCs now? Why, Unite The Right, of course. Just as the Reform Party snatched defeat from the jaws of victory by allowing itself to be maneuvered into a reverse takeover by the Mulroney Tories, Wildrose will be maneuvered into a reverse takeover by the Lougheed Tories. They’ll drop the P from PC, and everyone will be happy—except for the socons, who will blamed somehow for the Prentice debacle. Malibu Stacy’s popularity was maintained with a new hat, and the corpse of the Progressive Conservative Party of Alberta will be revivified with a slightly different title. “See, we’re conservative. It says so. Right in the name!”
Who is Premier Rachel Notley? She is a 51-year-old apparatchick, who has never had a private-sector job in her life. She is married to an apparatchik, who rejoices in the name Lou Arab. According to his LinkedIn profile, he has never worked in the private sector, either. For all the You Go, Girl! enthusiasm about her rise from obscurity, Notley was born in the purple. She owes her position as NDP leader to her surname. Her father, Grant Notley, was NDP leader until his death in a plane crash in 1984. To our courtier media, Notley père remains Alberta’s Great Lost Leader, despite the inconvenient facts that he accomplished little, and few Albertans under the age of 50 remember him.
What is the nature of the incoming NDP caucus? Vesti la giubba! SJWs all the way down. Teachers mostly and callow almost without exception. They regard wealth creation as a mysterious and odious process. Imagine pin-striped robber barons lighting cigars with hundred-dollar bills. While Alberta’s (and Canada’s) political elite regards religious belief with bemused distaste, Alberta’s new masters regard it with fear and hatred. The family, as traditionally understood, is a dinosaur, of course. And despite not being a particularly diverse group themselves, “diversity” is their savage God, and they will soon be giving it to Albertans good and hard.
What is the physiognomy of the incoming NDP caucus? That’s a bit of a sore point. Last weekend, when it became apparent that Notley was likely to become Premier, some of the more venturesome members of the media went to the NDP website to take a gander and found the message, “The Page You Were Looking For Was Not Found.” But the Internet never forgets, and the evidence does not inspire confidence. Of the 86 candidates pictured, two dozen or so appear to be normal. The rest manifest various degrees of derangement. (Or perhaps don’t have an inkling of how to present oneself for a photo session or hire a photographer whose portraits don’t inspire terror.) I expect that many if not most of the new caucus will be kept under wraps until after costly makeovers.
Who are my top picks for the NDP cabinet?
Minister of Incantations and Spells
Minister With Responsibility for Manic Pixie Dream Girls
Minister of Yikes!